Action: Weapons confiscation.
Assets: 3 "battlewagons" burned.
Casualties: 15 government troops--7 dead, 8 wounded.
Most striking paragraph:
"A senior commander of the Islamists' Shabab youth wing, Muktar Ali Robow, led rebels equipped with rocket propelled grenades and machineguns as they outgunned government troops in Dinsoor early on Sunday." [2]
Most puzzling phrase: "It was unclear why the Islamists briefly took over the town . . . ."
My hypothesis: discourage government forces; pacify the town; go home with weapons.
The conventional officer would say, "Stand and fight!"
The guerrilla leader instead says, "Strike and melt away."
Well . . . it works.
Accounts differ slightly.
Reuters AlertNet reports three battlewagons--usually small trucks equipped with machine guns--burned. Agence France-Presse notes in parallel or through additional witness's observation: "I saw Islamists driving four Somali government armed vehicles after the troops fled." [1]
In Somalia and elsewhere, conventional engagements yield ambiguous outcomes (except for the dead--there's nothing ambiguous about what has just happened to them).
While "firepower" counts for any combatant, the variables that overarch all are "information" and "relationships", and information withheld--i.e., the tactical secret--turns out the strongest armor while related "cloaked" relationships produce their certain level of aggressive potency in the form of ambush.
The guerrilla's eternal paradox: invisibility survives; visibility draws fire.
1. AFP. "Somali Islamists wrest control of southern township." Yahoo Canada, February 24, 2008.
2. "Somali Islamists kill 7 govt troops in southern town." Reuters AlertNet, February 24, 2008.
Correspondence: James S. Oppenheim
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